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Assessment of decarbonisation scenarios for the residential buildings of Serbia

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2018
StankovicBMPopovic.pdf (3.480Mb)
Authors
Novikova, Aleksandra
Csoknyai, Tamas
Jovanović-Popović, Milica D.
Stanković, Bojana D.
Szalay, Zsuzsa
Article (Published version)
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Abstract
Thermal energy demand in the residential building sector represents a big challenge for Serbia. In order to understand how to reduce this demand, and thereby avoiding GHG gas emissions, a bottom-up simulation model was developed. The model built the business-as-usual and two decarbonization scenarios up to 2030. For each scenario, such results as useful and final energy consumption, associated CO2 emissions, energy costs, investment costs and others were prepared at each level of the building stock segmentation. To develop such a detailed model, the topology of the residential building stock was developed and used as an input. For each individual building type, three retrofit packages of different stringency were analyzed. The paper delivers several important messages for the decarbonization of Serbia. First, it argues that the level of thermal energy services consumed by Serbian households is inadequate to address their needs. Second, the households of Serbia are likely to con...sume more wood than it was reported by national energy balances. Third, thermal energy efficiency retrofits can significantly reduce household energy demand at the same time as offering higher thermal comfort. However, the required investments are high and therefore benefits beyond energy cost savings should also be considered in order to make the transition to the low energy building stock economically feasible.

Keywords:
Residential buildings / Climate change / Energy efficiency / Serbia / CO2 mitigation / Building typology / Decarbonization scenarios / Bottom-up modeling
Source:
Thermal Science, 2018, 22, Suppl. 4, 1231-1247
Publisher:
  • VINCA Institute of Nuclear Sciences

DOI: 10.2298/TSCI171221229N

ISSN: 0354-9836

WoS: 000450540300023

Scopus: 2-s2.0-85057075257
[ Google Scholar ]
4
1
URI
https://raf.arh.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1085
Collections
  • Publikacije istraživača / Researchers' publications
Institution/Community
Arhitektonski fakultet
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Novikova, Aleksandra
AU  - Csoknyai, Tamas
AU  - Jovanović-Popović, Milica D.
AU  - Stanković, Bojana D.
AU  - Szalay, Zsuzsa
PY  - 2018
UR  - https://raf.arh.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1085
AB  - Thermal energy demand in the residential building sector represents a big challenge for Serbia. In order to understand how to reduce this demand, and thereby
avoiding GHG gas emissions, a bottom-up simulation model was developed. The
model built the business-as-usual and two decarbonization scenarios up to 2030.
For each scenario, such results as useful and final energy consumption, associated CO2 emissions, energy costs, investment costs and others were prepared at
each level of the building stock segmentation. To develop such a detailed model,
the topology of the residential building stock was developed and used as an input.
For each individual building type, three retrofit packages of different stringency
were analyzed. The paper delivers several important messages for the decarbonization of Serbia. First, it argues that the level of thermal energy services consumed by Serbian households is inadequate to address their needs. Second, the
households of Serbia are likely to consume more wood than it was reported by national energy balances. Third, thermal energy efficiency retrofits can significantly
reduce household energy demand at the same time as offering higher thermal
comfort. However, the required investments are high and therefore benefits beyond energy cost savings should also be considered in order to make the transition to the low energy building stock economically feasible.
PB  - VINCA Institute of Nuclear Sciences
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Assessment of decarbonisation scenarios for the residential buildings of Serbia
VL  - 22
IS  - Suppl. 4
SP  - 1231
EP  - 1247
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI171221229N
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Novikova, Aleksandra and Csoknyai, Tamas and Jovanović-Popović, Milica D. and Stanković, Bojana D. and Szalay, Zsuzsa",
year = "2018",
abstract = "Thermal energy demand in the residential building sector represents a big challenge for Serbia. In order to understand how to reduce this demand, and thereby
avoiding GHG gas emissions, a bottom-up simulation model was developed. The
model built the business-as-usual and two decarbonization scenarios up to 2030.
For each scenario, such results as useful and final energy consumption, associated CO2 emissions, energy costs, investment costs and others were prepared at
each level of the building stock segmentation. To develop such a detailed model,
the topology of the residential building stock was developed and used as an input.
For each individual building type, three retrofit packages of different stringency
were analyzed. The paper delivers several important messages for the decarbonization of Serbia. First, it argues that the level of thermal energy services consumed by Serbian households is inadequate to address their needs. Second, the
households of Serbia are likely to consume more wood than it was reported by national energy balances. Third, thermal energy efficiency retrofits can significantly
reduce household energy demand at the same time as offering higher thermal
comfort. However, the required investments are high and therefore benefits beyond energy cost savings should also be considered in order to make the transition to the low energy building stock economically feasible.",
publisher = "VINCA Institute of Nuclear Sciences",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Assessment of decarbonisation scenarios for the residential buildings of Serbia",
volume = "22",
number = "Suppl. 4",
pages = "1231-1247",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI171221229N"
}
Novikova, A., Csoknyai, T., Jovanović-Popović, M. D., Stanković, B. D.,& Szalay, Z.. (2018). Assessment of decarbonisation scenarios for the residential buildings of Serbia. in Thermal Science
VINCA Institute of Nuclear Sciences., 22(Suppl. 4), 1231-1247.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI171221229N
Novikova A, Csoknyai T, Jovanović-Popović MD, Stanković BD, Szalay Z. Assessment of decarbonisation scenarios for the residential buildings of Serbia. in Thermal Science. 2018;22(Suppl. 4):1231-1247.
doi:10.2298/TSCI171221229N .
Novikova, Aleksandra, Csoknyai, Tamas, Jovanović-Popović, Milica D., Stanković, Bojana D., Szalay, Zsuzsa, "Assessment of decarbonisation scenarios for the residential buildings of Serbia" in Thermal Science, 22, no. Suppl. 4 (2018):1231-1247,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI171221229N . .

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