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Assessment of decarbonisation scenarios for the residential buildings of Serbia

Thumbnail
2018
StankovicBMPopovic.pdf (3.480Mb)
Autori
Novikova, Aleksandra
Csoknyai, Tamas
Jovanović-Popović, Milica D.
Stanković, Bojana D.
Szalay, Zsuzsa
Članak u časopisu (Objavljena verzija)
Metapodaci
Prikaz svih podataka o dokumentu
Apstrakt
Thermal energy demand in the residential building sector represents a big challenge for Serbia. In order to understand how to reduce this demand, and thereby avoiding GHG gas emissions, a bottom-up simulation model was developed. The model built the business-as-usual and two decarbonization scenarios up to 2030. For each scenario, such results as useful and final energy consumption, associated CO2 emissions, energy costs, investment costs and others were prepared at each level of the building stock segmentation. To develop such a detailed model, the topology of the residential building stock was developed and used as an input. For each individual building type, three retrofit packages of different stringency were analyzed. The paper delivers several important messages for the decarbonization of Serbia. First, it argues that the level of thermal energy services consumed by Serbian households is inadequate to address their needs. Second, the households of Serbia are likely to con...sume more wood than it was reported by national energy balances. Third, thermal energy efficiency retrofits can significantly reduce household energy demand at the same time as offering higher thermal comfort. However, the required investments are high and therefore benefits beyond energy cost savings should also be considered in order to make the transition to the low energy building stock economically feasible.

Ključne reči:
Residential buildings / Climate change / Energy efficiency / Serbia / CO2 mitigation / Building typology / Decarbonization scenarios / Bottom-up modeling
Izvor:
Thermal Science, 2018, 22, Suppl. 4, 1231-1247
Izdavač:
  • VINCA Institute of Nuclear Sciences

DOI: 10.2298/TSCI171221229N

ISSN: 0354-9836

WoS: 000450540300023

[ Google Scholar ]
1
URI
https://raf.arh.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1085
Kolekcije
  • Publikacije istraživača / Researchers' publications
Institucija
Arhitektonski fakultet
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Novikova, Aleksandra
AU  - Csoknyai, Tamas
AU  - Jovanović-Popović, Milica D.
AU  - Stanković, Bojana D.
AU  - Szalay, Zsuzsa
PY  - 2018
UR  - https://raf.arh.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1085
AB  - Thermal energy demand in the residential building sector represents a big challenge for Serbia. In order to understand how to reduce this demand, and thereby
avoiding GHG gas emissions, a bottom-up simulation model was developed. The
model built the business-as-usual and two decarbonization scenarios up to 2030.
For each scenario, such results as useful and final energy consumption, associated CO2 emissions, energy costs, investment costs and others were prepared at
each level of the building stock segmentation. To develop such a detailed model,
the topology of the residential building stock was developed and used as an input.
For each individual building type, three retrofit packages of different stringency
were analyzed. The paper delivers several important messages for the decarbonization of Serbia. First, it argues that the level of thermal energy services consumed by Serbian households is inadequate to address their needs. Second, the
households of Serbia are likely to consume more wood than it was reported by national energy balances. Third, thermal energy efficiency retrofits can significantly
reduce household energy demand at the same time as offering higher thermal
comfort. However, the required investments are high and therefore benefits beyond energy cost savings should also be considered in order to make the transition to the low energy building stock economically feasible.
PB  - VINCA Institute of Nuclear Sciences
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Assessment of decarbonisation scenarios for the residential buildings of Serbia
VL  - 22
IS  - Suppl. 4
SP  - 1231
EP  - 1247
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI171221229N
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Novikova, Aleksandra and Csoknyai, Tamas and Jovanović-Popović, Milica D. and Stanković, Bojana D. and Szalay, Zsuzsa",
year = "2018",
url = "https://raf.arh.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1085",
abstract = "Thermal energy demand in the residential building sector represents a big challenge for Serbia. In order to understand how to reduce this demand, and thereby
avoiding GHG gas emissions, a bottom-up simulation model was developed. The
model built the business-as-usual and two decarbonization scenarios up to 2030.
For each scenario, such results as useful and final energy consumption, associated CO2 emissions, energy costs, investment costs and others were prepared at
each level of the building stock segmentation. To develop such a detailed model,
the topology of the residential building stock was developed and used as an input.
For each individual building type, three retrofit packages of different stringency
were analyzed. The paper delivers several important messages for the decarbonization of Serbia. First, it argues that the level of thermal energy services consumed by Serbian households is inadequate to address their needs. Second, the
households of Serbia are likely to consume more wood than it was reported by national energy balances. Third, thermal energy efficiency retrofits can significantly
reduce household energy demand at the same time as offering higher thermal
comfort. However, the required investments are high and therefore benefits beyond energy cost savings should also be considered in order to make the transition to the low energy building stock economically feasible.",
publisher = "VINCA Institute of Nuclear Sciences",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Assessment of decarbonisation scenarios for the residential buildings of Serbia",
volume = "22",
number = "Suppl. 4",
pages = "1231-1247",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI171221229N"
}
Novikova A, Csoknyai T, Jovanović-Popović MD, Stanković BD, Szalay Z. Assessment of decarbonisation scenarios for the residential buildings of Serbia. Thermal Science. 2018;22(Suppl. 4):1231-1247
Novikova, A., Csoknyai, T., Jovanović-Popović, M. D., Stanković, B. D.,& Szalay, Z. (2018). Assessment of decarbonisation scenarios for the residential buildings of Serbia.
Thermal ScienceVINCA Institute of Nuclear Sciences., 22(Suppl. 4), 1231-1247.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI171221229N
Novikova Aleksandra, Csoknyai Tamas, Jovanović-Popović Milica D., Stanković Bojana D., Szalay Zsuzsa, "Assessment of decarbonisation scenarios for the residential buildings of Serbia" 22, no. Suppl. 4 (2018):1231-1247,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI171221229N .

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