The Transformation of the Role of Demographic Decline in the Research of Urban Shrinkage

Abstract

Demographic decline is traditionally considered as the most prominent indicator of the globally presented phenomenon of urban shrinkage. However, in-depth research of this phenomenon implies that the demographic indicators cannot be simply positioned as consequences. Some of them are more the causes of urban shrinkage and the third ones have the features of both of them. The aim of this paper is to present the current knowledge regarding the role of demographic decline in the phenomenon of urban shrinkage. In accordance to the aim, the paper results with the better determination and categorisation of the main demographic indicators in this currently widespread phenomenon.

Demografsko opadanje se obično smatra najvažnijim pokazateljem urbanog opadanja, pojave prisutne širom sveta. Ipak, podrobnije istraživanje pojave posredno govori da demografski pokazatelji ne mogu jednostavno biti svrstani među njene posledice. Neki od njih su više uzroci, dok neki imaju odlike i jednog i drugog. Cilj ovog rada je da predstavi trenutna saznanja o ulozi demografskog opadanja u pojavi urbanog opadanja. U skladu sa tim ciljem, ishodi rada su vezani za bolje određenje i kategorizaciju glavnih demografskih pokazatelja u ovoj danas raširenoj pojavi.